MarketsNegative · Do not buyProPakistani

PSX Slides Below 174,000 Amid US‑Iran Tensions and Refinery Penalty Fears

The KSE‑100 Index fell 0.97% to 173,636 as geopolitical strain and looming refinery penalties dented sentiment, with banks, oil‑and‑gas and fertilizer stocks leading the decline.

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PSX Slides Below 174,000 Amid US‑Iran Tensions and Refinery Penalty Fears — Banks, Oil & Gas, Fertilizer, Insurance | Shariah PSX

Desk Analysis

How This Affects the Exchange

Sector Effect

Negative · Do not buy

Banks, Oil & Gas and Fertilizer sectors face negative pressure; avoid buying related tickers.

Sectors & Direction

Desk read

Desk call: Do not buy · Negatively affected

  • BanksNegatively affected
  • Oil & GasNegatively affected
  • FertilizerNegatively affected
  • InsuranceNegatively affected

Companies

UBL · Do not buyMCB · Do not buyOGDC · Do not buyPPL · Do not buyFFC · Do not buyAKBL · Do not buyAICL · Do not buy

Companies Mentioned

  • · Negatively affected · Do not buy
  • · Negatively affected · Do not buy
  • · Negatively affected · Do not buy
  • · Negatively affected · Do not buy
  • · Negatively affected · Do not buy
  • · Negatively affected · Do not buy
  • · Negatively affected · Do not buy

Mentions in This Briefing

Sectors: Banks, Oil & Gas, Fertilizer, Insurance Negative · Do not buy. PSX tickers: UBL, MCB, OGDC, PPL, FFC, AKBL, AICL. Banks, Oil & Gas and Fertilizer sectors face negative pressure; avoid buying related tickers.

Full Story

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## Market Overview

The Pakistan Stock Exchange closed lower on Monday, with the KSE‑100 Index dropping 1,693 points (‑0.97%) to finish at 173,636, slipping below the 174,000 mark for the first time this session.

## Drivers of the Decline

- Geopolitical pressure: Renewed tensions between the United States and Iran, coupled with rising global oil prices, weighed on investor confidence. - Macroeconomic concerns: Persistent inflation, pressure on the external account, and uncertainty over prolonged geopolitical risks kept sentiment bearish. - Refinery penalties: Reports emerged that the government will levy financial penalties on any refinery that does not sign an Upgradation Agreement with the Petroleum Division by 1 October 2026, prompting a sell‑off in refinery‑related stocks.

## Sector and Stock Performance

- Banks: United Bank Limited (UBL) and MCB Bank were among the biggest drags, together pulling the index down by roughly 811 points. - Oil & Gas: Oil and Gas Development Company Limited (OGDC) and Pakistan Petroleum Limited (PPL) added to the downward pressure. - Fertilizer: Fauji Fertilizer Company (FFC) also contributed to the decline. - Support: Pakistan Services Limited (PSEL), Askari Bank Limited (AKBL) and Adamjee Insurance Company Limited (AICL) provided modest buying, adding about 117 points collectively.

## Trading Activity

Despite the fall, market participation remained robust, with 679 million shares changing hands and a total turnover of approximately Rs 23.6 billion.

## Outlook

Investors are likely to stay cautious until geopolitical tensions ease and the refinery penalty framework is clarified. Monitoring the performance of banks, oil‑and‑gas and fertilizer companies will be key for short‑term positioning.