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Brent Crude Surpasses $100 Amid Escalating Middle East Conflict

Brent crude futures broke the $100 barrier as fighting in the Middle East raises concerns over oil flow disruptions, pushing oil prices higher.

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Brent Crude Surpasses $100 Amid Escalating Middle East Conflict — Oil & Gas | Shariah PSX

Desk Analysis

How This Affects the Exchange

Sector Effect

Positive · Buy bias

Oil & Gas sector likely to benefit from higher crude prices – Buy bias on related tickers.

Sectors & Direction

Desk read

Desk call: Buy bias · Positively affected

  • Oil & GasPositively affected

Companies

OGDC · Buy biasPPL · Buy bias

Companies Mentioned

  • · Positively affected · Buy bias
  • · Positively affected · Buy bias

Mentions in This Briefing

Sectors: Oil & Gas Positive · Buy bias. PSX tickers: OGDC, PPL. Oil & Gas sector likely to benefit from higher crude prices – Buy bias on related tickers.

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## Price Surge

Benchmark Brent crude futures climbed to $100.07 a barrel by 0721 GMT, up $2.15 (2.2%) from the previous session. U.S. West Texas Intermediate also rose, reaching $94.73 a barrel, a gain of $1.70 (1.83%).

## Geopolitical Drivers

The price jump follows intensified hostilities in the Middle East, particularly attacks by Iran‑backed Houthi rebels on Saudi energy facilities. These strikes threaten oil installations and could disrupt shipments through the Red Sea, an alternative route to the Strait of Hormuz, where crude flows have already been limited since the Iran‑U.S. conflict reignited on February 28.

## Market Outlook

Major banks such as Goldman Sachs, Bank of America and HSBC have recently lifted their crude price forecasts, reflecting expectations of tighter supply. Rystad Energy noted that crude volumes through Hormuz fell sharply after a brief rebound, dropping below 2 million barrels per day.

## Supply Context

While non‑OPEC producers like the United States, Canada and Guyana have increased output, the International Energy Agency warned that global oil supply could decline by 4.3 million barrels per day in 2024, roughly a 4% reduction.

## Implications for Pakistan

Higher international oil prices can boost revenues for Pakistan’s oil‑and‑gas companies and improve the sector’s earnings outlook. However, they may also exert upward pressure on domestic fuel prices and the broader economy.