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Australian shares slide as mining stocks tumble and oil price surge fuels inflation concerns

The S&P/ASX 200 fell 0.5% driven by weaker iron ore and copper prices, while rising crude oil heightened inflation worries and expectations of a U.S. Fed rate hike.

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Australian shares slide as mining stocks tumble and oil price surge fuels inflation concerns — Oil & Gas, Banks | Shariah PSX

Desk Analysis

How This Affects the Exchange

Sector Effect

Neutral · Watch

Oil & Gas may benefit from higher oil prices while Banks could face pressure from tighter global liquidity; watch both sectors.

Sectors & Direction

Desk read

Desk call: Watch · Neutral effect

  • Oil & GasNeutral effect
  • BanksNeutral effect

Companies

OGDC · WatchHUBC · Watch

Companies Mentioned

  • · Neutral effect · Watch
  • · Neutral effect · Watch

Mentions in This Briefing

Sectors: Oil & Gas, Banks Neutral · Watch. PSX tickers: OGDC, HUBC. Oil & Gas may benefit from higher oil prices while Banks could face pressure from tighter global liquidity; watch both sectors.

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## Market overview

The Australian S&P/ASX 200 index closed down 0.5% at 8,709.6 points as of 0005 GMT on Tuesday. Weak commodity prices hit the mining and gold sectors, while a resurgence in crude oil prices revived inflation fears and boosted bets on a U.S. Federal Reserve rate increase.

## Commodity and rate backdrop

Oil prices, lifted by tensions in the Middle East, have pushed inflation expectations higher. CME’s FedWatch tool shows a 90% probability that the Fed will raise rates by 25 basis points at its upcoming meeting. Australia’s own rate decision later this month is also expected to see a 25‑basis‑point hike to 4.60%.

## Sector performance in Australia

- Mining sub‑index: Down 2.2%, reaching its lowest level since early August after iron ore and copper prices fell to three‑week lows. Major miners BHP, Rio Tinto and Fortescue lost between 1% and 2.5%. - Gold miners: Near four‑week low, down 2.7% as gold prices slipped to a one‑month low. - Heavyweights: Northern Star fell 3.5% and Evolution Mining slid 3.9%. - Healthcare and consumer staples: Gained 0.8% and 0.5% respectively. - Financials: The sector slipped 0.1% with the four major Australian banks each losing between 0.2% and 0.5%. - Technology: Local tech stocks rebounded 1.6% after six straight sessions in the red.

## Global ripple effects

Higher oil prices and the prospect of tighter U.S. monetary policy can increase financing costs for emerging markets, including Pakistan, and may influence the PKR’s exchange rate. While higher oil prices could benefit Pakistan’s Oil & Gas sector, tighter global liquidity may weigh on the banking sector.

## Regional neighbour

Across the Tasman Sea, New Zealand’s S&P/NZX 50 index slipped 0.1% to 13,550.73.

## Outlook for Pakistan

Investors should monitor how global rate expectations and oil price movements affect local sectors. Oil & Gas companies may see a price‑related boost, whereas banks could feel pressure from higher funding costs.